September Hike Odds: 33%. The Fastest Repricing of This Cycle. What Gold Has Historically Done When Rate Cycles End. By Advantage Gold | August 2026 Six weeks ago, the market-implied probability of a September Federal Reserve rate hike stood at approximately 65%. Today it sits at 33% — a 32-percentage-point swing driven by a sequence […]
Silver Is Leading Gold Again. Here’s Why That May Signal Where This Bull Market Is Headed. By Advantage Gold | August 2026 Silver is outperforming gold again this week. The gold-to-silver ratio is compressing. And for investors who track precious metals bull market dynamics, this development may be one of the more significant signals of […]
The Cost of Doing Nothing: $100,000 Today, Two Very Different Futures. By Advantage Gold | August 2026 Most conversations about investing focus on what to buy. This one is about what happens when you don’t buy anything at all — when you hold cash and assume that doing nothing is the safe choice. The chart […]
As the National Debt Quadrupled, Gold Went With It. By Advantage Gold | August 2026 There is a chart making the rounds this week that tells one of the most important stories in modern financial history — not through opinion or projection, but through five data points spanning nearly two decades. Every time the United […]
September Hike Odds Fell From 65% to 44% in One Week. Here’s What That Repricing Means for Gold. By Advantage Gold | August 2026 The market-implied probability of a September Federal Reserve rate hike has fallen from approximately 65% to 44% in a single week. That is a significant repricing. THE CATALYST: JULY NFP The […]
CPI Is the Make-or-Break Print for Gold’s Momentum. Here’s How to Read It. By Advantage Gold | August 2026 July CPI drops at 8:30am ET this morning — and the stakes for gold markets are unusually high. Gold has gained more than 7% in the past week following the July NFP shock (-23,000 jobs), breaking […]
Gold’s Best Week Since January. What Comes After a Breakout? By Advantage Gold | August 2026 Retail Sales drops at 8:30am ET today — the final major data release of a week that may represent a significant inflection point for gold markets in 2026. Let’s take stock of what the week produced — and what […]
Gold at $4,400. NFP Contracted. The Breakout May Be Here. By Advantage Gold | August 2026 Gold opened this morning at $4,400 per ounce — its highest level since early June — following Friday’s July nonfarm payrolls report that delivered one of the most significant shocks to US labor market expectations in years. July NFP […]
Iran Peace Talks Resume. Gold Above $4,400. Here’s What the Cycle Is Actually Telling Us. By Advantage Gold | August 2026 Gold stayed around $4400, this morning after President Trump paused planned US strikes on Iran following appeals from Saudi Arabia and other Gulf allies. Peace talks are resuming. Oil fell on the news. Gold […]
Three Fed Dissenters Are Still Calling for Rate Hikes. Here’s What That Means for Gold. By Advantage Gold | August 2026 Three Federal Reserve officials — Neel Kashkari, Beth Hammack, and Lorie Logan — dissented at last week’s FOMC meeting in favor of an immediate rate hike. The vote was 9-3 to hold at 3.50%–3.75%. […]