Tag Archive: global economy

Buy the Dips

Stocks finished the day after Thanksgiving moderately lower. Gold, on the other hand, finished the day with strength, up nearly $9 per ounce on the session. Of course, lower stocks and higher gold could be due to a wide variety of reasons. The day could, however, be indicative of trends to come. The day’s upside in gold puts a little distance between the market and chart support in the $1450 area. Another dip towards $1450 could, however, see further buying interest and perhaps even a... Continue Reading

Category |

The Market Could Have Further to Fall Before Finding a Bottom

The gold market s lower again today as some surprising economic data has caught the markets off-guard. In recent trade, spot gold was down nearly $7 per ounce at $1454.60 for the day. The market has continued to hold above support in the $1450 area, but another test of this area could potentially lead to a fresh leg lower in value. The market could even look to test the $1400 region before finding more willing, long-term buying interest. And that is just fine… The market... Continue Reading

Category |

More Trouble Ahead

The gold/copper ratio reached its highest level in three years in the third quarter, in what could potentially be a signal for price movement in the year or even years ahead. The World Bank recently, according to Kitco, said that the price of gold is likely to push back towards the $1600 region. There are numerous potential reasons for gold to push higher as copper and base metals push lower or remain stagnant. In fact, a price of $1600 per ounce represents a less-than six... Continue Reading

Category |

All-Time Highs May Weigh

The gold market, is often the case, has numerous, major implications working both for and against it. To start the new trading week, the market is having to grapple with fresh all-time highs in stocks. It’s really no surprise that fresh equity all-time highs might act as a downward pressure on gold and other hard asset prices. Investors are drinking the Kool-Aid currently, and word that “Phase 1” of a U.S./China trade deal is almost ready for signatures is playing with people’s emotions. Despite the... Continue Reading

Category |

You Can’t Afford to Wait

Stock markets are sharply higher today as hopes for a U.S./China trade deal appear to be on the rise. The ongoing trade war has been a source of market volatility and significant shifts in sentiment for several months now. Although a deal may boost stocks in the short-term, there are still many major hurdles to an ongoing stock bull market. In fact, given the age of the bull market and the state of the global economy, the market is far more likely to be at... Continue Reading

Category |

Just Another Reason

The current economic and geopolitical landscape is filled with potential landmines, and the climate just got even more tedious. Over the weekend, an attack on Saudi oil facilities reportedly cut production by some 5.7 million barrels per day, or over half of the Kingdom’s production. This amount accounts for about five percent of total global oil supply and could send crude oil prices soaring. Brent crude jumped by about 20 percent after the news, while WTI also made a significant double-digit leap. Thus far, it... Continue Reading

Central Banks Are Still Buying

The recent central bank buying spree looks set to continue. It was reported that Russia’s central bank purchased another 300,000 ounces of gold in July after topping the $100 billion reserve level the month before. The latest figures reportedly show Russia’s gold reserves now stand at nearly 20 percent of its total reserves. The nation has purchased nearly 3.5 million ounces so far this year and has been a consistent buyer on a monthly basis. Russia’s gold reserves have now increased nearly 10-fold over the... Continue Reading

U.S. Hardline Stance May Cause Dominos To Fall

The current state of geopolitics and the global economy warrant caution. Stocks are moving slightly higher in early action on Monday as the markets seem to be pinning their hopes on the Fed and another series of rate cuts. The Fed will be meeting this week, and although no action is expected on Wednesday, the central bank could lay the groundwork for the first rate cut in over 10 years next month. There are currently several issues at work, however, that could potentially set off... Continue Reading

Risk Aversion Accelerates – This Could Be It

The gold market is finally seeing some significant upside as risk aversion accelerates. The metal has now broken out of its recent trading range and could potentially set its sights on a new high for the year in the weeks ahead. There are numerous issues behind the recent ascent, and many of these issues could potentially fuel the next major global recession. The ongoing U.S./China trade war appears poised to continue. After a deal was reported to be close in recent weeks, both sides have... Continue Reading

So Many Catalysts to Choose From

The gold market has been range-bound in recent weeks. Dips into recent support from $1275-$1290 have been aggressively bought thus far, and the market appears to be quite comfortable in its recent range. The bears have not been able to carve out a fresh leg lower, suggesting that prices may be at a near-term or perhaps even long-term bottom. Since gold does not appear to want to go lower, it may simply be a matter of time before its starts moving higher again. Perhaps the... Continue Reading

Category |