Tag Archive: trade war

Trade Talks Maybe Not Going So Well?

Wall St. has seen major stock indexes make fresh all-tine highs recently. Stocks have pulled back a bit in recent trade, however, and are lower again today. The primary reason for the lack of upside follow through could be a lack of progress in U.S./China trade negotiations. Recent headlines on trade have taken a slightly more mixed tone, while ongoing unrest in Hong Kong could also potentially upset things further The U.S. House of Representatives on Wednesday passed two bills that may have upset Beijing.... Continue Reading

Has Gold Found a Bottom?

It’s no secret that the gold market has struggled for several weeks now. Following a convincing upside breakout in price that took the market to over the $1500 level, the gold bulls have not seen the type of follow through that they are looking for. In fact, prices have been on the decline since finding a top with seemingly little to stop the recent descent. The gold market has possibly now found a bottom. Although it is too early to tell; recent price action could... Continue Reading

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How Quickly Things Can Change

After seeing some moderate selling in early trade today, the gold market has been clawing its way back to nearly the unchanged level for the session. At the heart of gold’s reversal could be commentary from President Donald Trump. The President recently suggested that the U.S. was not going to follow up on previous discussions phase out tariffs along with China as part of the Phase 1 trade agreement gets ready for signatures. Not surprisingly, the gold market’s rise today happens to coincide with stocks... Continue Reading

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All-Time Highs May Weigh

The gold market, is often the case, has numerous, major implications working both for and against it. To start the new trading week, the market is having to grapple with fresh all-time highs in stocks. It’s really no surprise that fresh equity all-time highs might act as a downward pressure on gold and other hard asset prices. Investors are drinking the Kool-Aid currently, and word that “Phase 1” of a U.S./China trade deal is almost ready for signatures is playing with people’s emotions. Despite the... Continue Reading

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The Next Major Breakout is Brewing

The gold bulls have not had much to cheer about in recent weeks. After hitting a multi-year high, the market has eased back and seemingly entered a consolidation phase. The last several weeks have seen prices trade around the $1500 region, and although prices are currently below this support level, they have not seen a significant leg lower. The lack of upside in recent weeks is actually a positive thing, not a negative. The next major breakout is brewing. After reaching multi-year highs in recent... Continue Reading

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Manufacturing is Not Looking Good

Stocks are sharply lower today as another key piece of economic data shows significant weakness. The latest reading of the ISM Manufacturing is not looking good. It showed a drop to 47.8% from a reading last month of 49.1%. This reading marks the lowest level since June 2009, when the Great Recession ended. Consensus estimates were looking for a reading of 50.2%. The decline in activity is significant. Readings above 50 show expansion while readings below 50 show contraction. Only three of 18 sectors tracked... Continue Reading

Another Warning Sign

There has been no shortage of talk about the ongoing global economic slowdown. It seems that there is a constant supply of fresh data suggesting that the slowdown is not only ongoing but could be accelerating. An ongoing slowdown, or even recession, should not come as a huge surprise at this point. The current expansion has gotten quite long in the tooth and began to falter as soon as the Fed tried to normalize monetary policy. In what may be considered another shot across the... Continue Reading

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Buy the Dips

The gold market has seen some solid buying in recent weeks and has recently been taking a bit of a breather. The market has pulled back from its recent highs, and in early action today is seeing a retest of the $1500 level on the chart. A significant price dip is not only necessary at this point, but healthy as well. Markets do not typically go straight up or straight down, and the gold market is no exception with the dips. The market has been... Continue Reading

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A Divided Fed

The Federal Reserve elected to cut interest rates again by 25-basis points at the conclusion of its meeting this week. The committee voted in favor of the cut by a margin of 7-3. The split may have been more than markets anticipated, and the Fed’s commentary was deemed to be not so easy when it comes to monetary policy. 7 of 17 FOMC members expect just one more rate cut this year. The not so dovish meeting sent stocks lower initially before they recovered. The... Continue Reading

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Recession With or Without A Deal

The ongoing U.S./China trade war has had a significant impact on the economies of both countries. The war on trade has seen several stages of escalation in recent months, and thus far, the two aides still appear to be quite far apart when it comes to making some type of long-term agreement. Talks are set to resume next month, and that news has stock markets moving higher as risk aversion abates. Some key economic indicators have already begun showing some significant cracks. Recent manufacturing data,... Continue Reading